BTC just broke above overhead resistance – and I called this on Tuesday. But before you start buying the news, there are two major warning signals hiding in plain sight. Volume is declining, and every single time OBV has spiked above its 21 SMA since December, it has marked a pivot high. Every. Single. Time. I’ll show you the receipts, and then we need to talk about what actually comes next.
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We’re watching RSI closely here. If BTC pushes to $75K and RSI goes overbought, that’s not a victory lap – that’s a signal. This same setup appeared at every major pivot high over the last three months: OBV spikes above its moving average, RSI flips overbought, the reversal begins. The bear flag that’s been in place since February is still valid, and nothing that happened today breaks that structure.
The macro picture makes this worse. Middle East escalation, Japanese yen at dangerous levels, VIX elevated, gold overbought, SPX and NASDAQ both looking terrible. BTC doesn’t get to close its eyes and pretend none of that matters. If this plays out the way the data is suggesting, we’re looking at $60K as the first real target, $49K after that, and $38,555 is not off the table. I’ve been preparing you for this for months. This is what a bear market year looks like.
📖 Chapters 📖
00:00 BTC Breaks Resistance – But Is This the Real Move?
02:14 OBV Just Sent a Major Warning Signal
05:01 Every OBV Spike Has Marked a Top – Here’s the Proof
08:43 RSI Going Overbought Is a Ticking Time Bomb
10:05 The Bear Flag That Never Died
12:37 Key Levels, Downside Targets & Macro Red Flags
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🔔 Disclaimer: The information contained herein is for informational purposes only. Nothing herein shall be construed to be financial, legal, or tax advice. The content of this video is solely the opinions of the speaker who is not a licensed financial advisor or registered investment advisor. Trading cryptocurrencies poses considerable risk of loss. The speaker does not guarantee any particular outcome.