I called $75K for Bitcoin four days ago. It hit $76K instead – so I was wrong in the best possible way. But before you start loading up on longs, let me show you exactly why I think this is our next pivot high, why the bear flag is still completely intact, and why $49K is still very much on the table.
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Eight consecutive green daily candles sounds incredibly bullish. And yet every structural requirement of a bear flag is still in place – higher lows, higher highs, and now a pierce of overhead resistance that could easily be the final squeeze before the real move lower begins. RSI hit overbought on Monday at 76.83. Volume has been printing lower highs since the February crash. OBV’s moving average is curling up, but real volume isn’t confirming the move. We’ve seen this exact setup at every major pivot high in this cycle.
Combined stablecoin dominance went oversold Monday at 23.33 on RSI. The last time that happened was early January – and what followed was a 38% drop in BTC and a $1.27 trillion wipeout across the total crypto market cap over the next three weeks. If we see one more higher high in price paired with a lower high on RSI, that’s the signal. After that, the bear flag breaks down, $60K gets tested and likely rejected, and $49K becomes the next real target. I’m not doom-posting. The math just works.
📖 Chapters 📖
00:00 I Called $75K – Here’s What Happens Next
01:16 Why 8 Green Candles Still Doesn’t Break the Bear Flag
03:32 RSI Overbought: The Pivot Moment Is Here
05:23 Volume Is Lying to You
09:46 Stablecoin Dominance Just Flashed the Same Signal as January
13:28 The Bear Flag Target: Why $49K Is Realistic
17:57 Market Maker Thought Exercise
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🔔 Disclaimer: The information contained herein is for informational purposes only. Nothing herein shall be construed to be financial, legal, or tax advice. The content of this video is solely the opinions of the speaker who is not a licensed financial advisor or registered investment advisor. Trading cryptocurrencies poses considerable risk of loss. The speaker does not guarantee any particular outcome.