Bittensor, the blockchain-based machine learning network that’s powering the TAO token, is now expected to shine by Wall Street’s most-seasoned investors. Grayscale’s analysts recently acknowledged this, precluding the upcoming Bittensor (TAO) halving, mimicking Bitcoin’s (BTC) structure.
Bittensor Halving: TAO’s Rocket Fuel Or Gimmick?
With the supply cut taking place on December 14, 2025, Bittensor’s (TAO) emission will be slashed from 7,200 to 3,600 a day. Post-halving bull cycles have pushed Bitcoin’s (BTC) price up numerous times, so TAO’s expected to follow suit, Grayscale’s specialists note. Taking inspiration from BTC, TAO also has a limited cap of 21 million coins.
Right now, 9.59 million of these are floating across markets, so there’s more than 50% of the max supply waiting to be unlocked. Hovering around $300, the artificial intelligence (AI) powering altcoin is still 56.9% down in a 365-day time-frame, as the AI crypto boom didn’t live up to expectations, overshadowed by geopolitical tensions & tariffs.
With the current TAO price setup pointing towards bulls finally restoring dominance, the $757.60 all-time peak is still over 60% away. This unrealized potential could add fuel to Bittensor’s (TAO) 12% rally this week, as the AI altcoin broke through the top-tier Bollinger Band (BOLL), pictured in red. Sustaining above this level will be key in determining TAO’s short-term trend.
Factoring in the Parabolic Stop & Reverse (SAR), the on-chain signals give a bullish picture with 6 days left until Bittensor’s halving event. However, the trading volumes on Spot markets stood below $200 million, a relatively low figure for a TOP 50 crypto currency by market capitalization.
On The Flipside
- Halvings also often lead to ‘sell the news’ events, when market dips come during the most surprising moments.
- However, the adjusted supply does eventually reflect in price, as seen with Bitcoin (BTC) & Litecoin (LTC) halvings.
Why This Matters
The cultivation of artificial intelligence (AI) based crypto currencies has manifested itself in a $30 billion market with Bittensor being the largest machine-learning chain aside from Chainlink (LINK).
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Bittensor’s first halving on December 14, 2025, cuts daily TAO emissions from 7,200 to 3,600 tokens. It follows a four-year cycle toward a 21 million TAO supply cap, mimicking Bitcoin’s scarcity model.
Grayscale sees the halving as a positive catalyst, potentially doubling TAO’s value through reduced supply growth and rising demand. They cite Bitcoin’s history where halvings boosted network value despite smaller rewards.
Lower emissions increase TAO scarcity, easing sell pressure while AI subnet utility and institutional inflows drive demand. This could tighten supply if adoption outpaces the reduced inflation rate of about 0.02% daily.
TAO trades around $300, up 7% in the last 24 hours amid market rebound, with 80.95% staked. The network has 128 subnets holding $920M in market cap, boosted by dTAO for direct subnet investments.
Grayscale filed a Bittensor Trust in October 2025, with funds like Yuma and Stillcore investing in top subnets. Public firms hold TAO treasuries worth millions, signaling maturing ecosystem access.
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