A two-year-old wallet that once held around 400 ETH now holds almost nothing else but ASTER. Gemini AI predicts ASTER stays inside its range despite that bet, because one conviction trade does not change what the token is priced against.
The wallet pulled 520,000 USDT off MEXC three weeks ago and sat on it. On Monday, it sent the money back and withdrew 1.675 million ASTER, worth roughly $1.17 million, an hour later.
ASTER trades at $0.6902, up 0.73% on the day, with a market cap of $1.86 billion.
A 2-year-old wallet just went almost all-in on $ASTER.
3 weeks ago it pulled 520K USDT off MEXC and sat on it.
Today it sent that USDT back to MEXC, and an hour later withdrew 1.675M $ASTER (~$1.17M).
7 withdrawals. Test transactions first. Someone careful moving real money.… pic.twitter.com/evRWLDn1oe
— Professor on chain (@Proxonchain) October 12, 2026
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The Way This Whale Bought Says More Than the Size
The execution is the interesting part. The buyer did not market buy in one click. The position came out in seven separate withdrawals, with small test transactions sent first to confirm the address worked.
That is someone protecting $1.17 million from a typo, not someone chasing a candle. The three-week gap between pulling the cash and spending it points the same way. The money was staged, then deployed on a decision rather than an impulse.
Entry was around $0.70. ASTER now trades at $0.688, which puts the wallet marginally underwater on day one.
The rotation matters as much as the entry. This address previously held roughly 400 ETH and is now 99.9% concentrated in a single mid-cap token. That is not diversification or a trial position.
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Aster Is the Second Biggest Perp DEX, With One Caveat
Perp Volume DefilLama
Aster processed $54.736 billion in perpetual volume over 30 days, second only to Hyperliquid’s $205.305 billion. Open interest stands at $1.304 billion, compared with Hyperliquid’s $7.652 billion. Total value locked is $765.47 million.
Revenue is real too. Fees over 30 days reached $5.11 million, with $3.33 million flowing to holders, and none of it was bought with incentives. Staked ASTER totals $343.88 million, or 18.26% of market cap.
Now the caveat. DefiLlama lists Aster’s reported 24-hour volume at $2.426 billion but its normalized figure at $1.592 billion, a gap of roughly 52%. Hyperliquid’s two numbers are identical at $7.447 billion.
Normalization strips out volume that does not represent independent trading activity. A gap that wide on one venue and none on the other is worth knowing before using the volume ranking as a valuation argument.
Supply is the second thing to weigh. Circulating supply is 2.7 billion against a maximum of 8 billion, which is why market cap reads $1.86 billion while fully diluted valuation reaches $5.5 billion.
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Gemini AI Predicts ASTER Levels: Where This Range Finally Breaks
ASTERUSDT Chart 1D
The chart has been remarkably consistent for eight months. ASTER fell from above $1.15 last November to a low near $0.45 in February. Since then it has traded a band, and the current price sits almost exactly in the middle of it.
AI predicts ASTER will be decided at these levels:
- The floor: $0.6654. The base that has held since spring. The whale’s entry sits just above it, which makes this the level that tests their conviction.
- The ceiling: $0.7637. Capped every rally since September, including the early October attempt.
- The breakout target: $0.95. The December 2025 zone, and the first real resistance above the range.
Volume is the detail to watch. Turnover reached $93.39 million in 24 hours, up 28.25%, while price moved less than 1%. Rising participation without direction usually resolves within days rather than weeks.
A close above $0.7637 would validate the whale and open a gap with little overhead. A close below $0.6654 leaves them holding the largest position of their wallet’s life into a falling market.
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Daniel Frances is a technical writer and Web3 educator specializing in macroeconomics and DeFi mechanics. A crypto native since 2017, Daniel leverages his background in on-chain analytics to author evidence-based reports and deep-dive guides. He holds certifications from The Blockchain Council, and is dedicated to providing “information gain” that cuts through market hype to find real-world blockchain utility.