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🎯 My track record: https://bullmania.com/ivan
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00:00 Intro – BTC bouncing
00:21 BTC weekly chart – closing the CME gap?
00:35 Most important narrative for the bulls – ISM above 50
01:23 ISM is going to fix everything – Run it hot
02:39 Why I do not use ISM in my trading
03:16 ISM narrative might give some tailwind – But just follow the chart
03:36 Ben Cowen – ISM is a very bad signal.
04:00 Correlation vs Causation infotainment
04:35 In crypto we are the best at finding hopium
05:03 Conclusion – follow the chart and follow the price
05:38 Tom Lee video – We are bottoming (again)
06:37 Tom Lee meme video
07:36 Tom Lee currently number 5 in biggest public trade losses
08:25 People speaking on TV have other incentives
09:32 Cathie Wood video – On crypto volatility
10:18 BTC weekly chart – Shallowest 4y cycle
11:14 Be a bit more humble – 4 year cycle still works.
12:21 NVidia CEO video – Year of the horse, bullish
13:00 Will Trump do another coin?
14:10 CZ – You fudda me I take away UR SUPA CYCRE
15:09 Do not blame CZ for everything
16:16 Bullmania members making nice gains. Some also lost when not trying to use mechanical rules
18:00 Law of large numbers
18:18 Shout out to Bullmania – Partners I use
18:40 Hyperliquid news – supports Outcome trading aka Prediction markets
20:36 HYPE chart – Potential HODL for the next bull run
21:57 HYPE vs HOOD overview
22:52 Keep to the strategy for now – Risk off
23:21 OpenAI-NVidia concerns video – NVidia CEO, not investing 100B
27:43 Similar to systemic risk with FTX debacle – Bank run language?
29:30 ING Germany now allows retail access to BTC, ETH, SOL ETPs
31:10 Q and A
31:52 Q1: Will you add stocks to your portfolio?
33:56 Q2: I am a Europoor German?
35:50 Q3: Russian gas is O2 for German economy?
36:59 Q4: Input for inspirational speech? Learn a hard skill
41:13 Q5: Looking for an intern?
44:23 WEN Optimus? I need one for all chores and maintenance. Blue collar workers watch out!
49:11 Q6: When creating a mini game, does it need tokenomics?
52:00 About robotic lawn mowers and breaking cables
54:42 Back to the future topic
55:43 Q7: Suggest to take your whole family out of the EU?
56:21 Q8: AI takes all jobs, what is the purpose of humans then?
59:21 Outro