XRP is heading into Ripple’s October 1 escrow release while trading in a contested range, putting the short-term XRP price forecast in focus. Ripple trades near $1.53 on September 30, flat in the last 24 hours.
The key question is not just how many tokens unlock, but how many actually reach the market, and whether XRP can reclaim resistance at $1.60–$1.70.
Ripple is set to release up to 1 billion XRP, worth roughly $1.5 billion at current prices. That is a gross unlock, not a confirmed sale. Ripple may redistribute the tokens or return a large share to escrow, as it often does.
The unlock alone will not decide the price path. Bitcoin’s direction and Ripple’s follow-up disclosures matter too. Technically, the question is whether support holds before the market tests the resistance above.
$XRP has two dates worth watching.
Sept 30: Evernorth treasury merger vote
Oct 1: 1B XRP escrow unlock
One is institutional.
One is supply.Unlock ≠ all of it hitting the market.
Most of it usually gets re-locked.
Which one are you watching more the vote or the unlock?#XRP pic.twitter.com/lMz6di94kK— Leanna Paul (@LPaul_x) September 29, 2026
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Bull, Base or Bear: What Is the XRP Price Forecast for October?
XRPUSDT Chart 1D
The daily chart shows XRP stuck below a ceiling it has failed to break since August. Spikes toward $1.66–$1.70 in late August and September were both sold off quickly. Above that, the next major resistance sits near $1.76.
On the downside, XRP is holding just above support near $1.49–$1.50. Below that, the 50-day and 200-day moving averages have converged near $1.37, with a deeper floor around $1.26.
- Bull case: A sustained daily close above $1.60–$1.70 would improve the structure. FXEmpire has cited $1.80 as a first target, with $2.10 possible if momentum holds.
- Base case: XRP consolidates between $1.49 and $1.70 while traders watch how much of the unlock is redistributed.
- Bear case: A break below $1.49 could expose the moving averages near $1.37, then $1.26.
For any XRP price forecast this week, follow-through matters more than the unlock headline. For a broader look at the event and the $1.70 ceiling, see this XRP rebound and unlock analysis.
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LiquidChain Targets Cross-Chain Utility as XRP Tests Support
XRP’s setup offers potential upside if support holds, but the release adds a near-term supply variable, and no breakout is confirmed. That leaves traders weighing a defined technical trigger against uncertainty about how much unlocked XRP ultimately reaches exchanges.
LiquidChain is a Layer 3 infrastructure project whose website describes a cross-chain liquidity layer designed to combine Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana liquidity in one execution environment. At this stage, the token price stands at $0.01496, while the total raised reaches $979K.
Its Unified Liquidity Layer and Deploy-Once Architecture let developers build once and reach all three ecosystems instead of fragmenting liquidity across chains.
As with any presale, capital is at risk, and the project remains unproven at scale, so due diligence matters here as much as anywhere else.
Those curious can research LiquidChain directly.
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Disclaimer: Coinspeaker is committed to providing unbiased and transparent reporting. This article aims to deliver accurate and timely information but should not be taken as financial or investment advice. Since market conditions can change rapidly, we encourage you to verify information on your own and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content.
Daniel Frances is a technical writer and Web3 educator specializing in macroeconomics and DeFi mechanics. A crypto native since 2017, Daniel leverages his background in on-chain analytics to author evidence-based reports and deep-dive guides. He holds certifications from The Blockchain Council, and is dedicated to providing “information gain” that cuts through market hype to find real-world blockchain utility.