As a former Wall Street Options market maker, I use my years of experience to explain from an insider perspective how to think about financial markets and apply this to cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin.
Can we predict the future price of Bitcoin by analyzing derivatives markets like options or futures?
I outline how the Options volatility smile is shaped for major asset classes like equities and commodities, and finally cryptocurrencies, then make closing remarks on these findings and how to use this knowledge when thinking about our investment decisions.
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Intro: 0:00
S&P500 Vol Smile: 3:10
Commodities Vol Smile: 5:07
BTC Vol Smile: 6:00
Why Options: 7:07
Election Betting: 8:50
Bull vs Bear cases: 9:51
Summary: 10:44