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A prominent technical analyst warns that XRP may be on the verge of a sharp, potentially severe decline, despite recent fund flows.
The analyst highlighted an ascending triangle pattern on the logarithmic scale and stressed that the structure outweighs short-term chatter. The move from the pattern points to an initial non-log target of $4–$7. Longer-term cycle and Fibonacci extensions open the door to $13–$27, with a broader macro repricing scenario that could eventually push the price toward $100.
Yet the immediate setup carries downside risk. The analyst’s headline warning of a “mega crash coming” underscores the possibility that a breakdown in the current consolidation could precede any sustained advance, especially if key support levels fail to hold amid broader market volatility.
The caution arrives just after XRP captured the lion’s share of last week’s rebound in digital-asset investment products. Global crypto ETPs recorded $224 million in inflows, reversing the prior week’s $414 million outflow. Switzerland drove the bulk of the buying, contributing roughly $157 million, or about 70% of the total. Meanwhile, Germany and the United States each added around $28 million, and Canada added $11 million.
XRP products alone accounted for more than half of the global inflows, at approximately $120 million, the token’s strongest weekly inflow since mid-December 2025. U.S. spot XRP ETFs, by contrast, showed virtually no net activity, with total assets across the five listed products sitting at $940 million.
 
At press time, CoinMarketCap data shows XRP down 0.49% to $1.33 in 24h, slightly underperforming the market rally, which was primarily driven by a macro lift in risk assets following a mixed U.S. inflation report.
Market-wide macro rally, with Bitcoin up 1.3% after a March CPI report showed tame core inflation, easing fears of a Fed rate hike. Aggressive derivatives positioning, with XRP futures balance spiking +83% in 24h, and a decline in exchange reserves signaling reduced immediate sell pressure.